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POLICY REVIEW


              Lakh jobs through effects       industries  belonging to 21     sector,  one  can  get  much
              and 42.57 lakh jobs through     broad sectors of the Indian     bigger impact  of housing
              indirect effects (Table 4).     economy.                        investments under PMAY
                                                                              on   employment     creation,
              Using the NIPFP methodology     Estimation using NCAER          especially for the unskilled
              and extrapolating  for the      Methodology                     informal  sector  workforce.
              PMAY latest data of 86.41 lakh   The   employment      figure   In     addition,     NCAER
              houses which were grounded      arrived at using the NIPFP      methodology also enables to
              upto 6  September 2021 with     methodology shows the huge      estimate the impact of housing
                    th
              the estimated cost of Rs. 2.79   impact of housing investment   investment  on  household
              lakh crore, it can roughly be   under PMAY for creation of      income and Gross Domestic
              estimated  that around 2.50     employment      opportunities   Product (GDP) of the country.
              crore  jobs  would  have  been   in the urban areas. However,   Table-5 depicts the estimated
              created in the economy as a     by using the methodology of     impact of housing investment
              whole, as a result of the inter-  NCAER (2014) for residential   under    PMAY-HfA(Urban)
              industry linkage of housing     construction        (housing)   on employment, household
              industry with about 130 other                                   income and GDP.

              Table 5: Impact of PMAY Investments

                   Impact        Houses          Total       Employment      Addition to     Addition to
                                Grounded      Investment        (No. cr.)     Household       GDP (Rs.
                                (No. lakh)   (Rs. lakh cr.)                    Income          lakh cr.)
                                                                              (Rs. lakh cr.)

               Type-I              86.41          2.79            6.53           1.14            4.30
               Type-II                                            11.3           2.12            7.93

               Type-I             113.06          7.39           17.29           3.03           17.22
               Type-II                                           29.93           5.62           37.76

              Source: Own Estimates using multipliers of NCAER Study, 2014


              As can be seen from Table-5,    sector.  Adding the  induced    units of 113.06 crore are
              86.41   lakh   houses   were    effects of housing investment   grounded, total employment
              grounded up to 6  September     because of its inter-industry   of 29.93 crore would be
                               th
              2021 with the estimated cost    linkages through the Type-II    generated  in the economy,
              of Rs. 2.79 lakh crore. Using   employment  coefficient,  the   including 17.29 crore direct
              the  Type-I  (direct  &  indirect   total employment of 11.3 crore   & indirect employment in
              effects)  employment      co-   would have been created in      the housing industry itself,
              efficient of 2.69 derived by    the economy.Of this, around     vast majority of which would
              NCAER Study, it is estimated    11  crore  jobs  would  have    belong to the informal sector
              that the investment of Rs.      been for informal sector, as    employment.
              2.79 lakh crore would have      it constitutes 97% of the total
              generated direct employment     jobs created. Further, when     The NCAER Study also
              of 7.51 crore in the housing    the entire sanctioned housing   estimates that for every
                                                                              investment in the housing


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