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POLICY REVIEW




                     IMPACT OF FUTURE SEA LEVEL RISE ON COASTAL

                            REAL ESTATE AND INFRASTRUCTURE IN INDIA

                                                            An Agenda For Policy And Research





          PROF. PIYUSH TIWARI                 Sea level rise (SLR) is inevitable   of  disaster  risk  mitigation  and
                                                                              adaptation.
                                              and so is the risk to the coastal
          DR. MOHIT KUMAR                     populations   and   properties.
                                              Along  the  Indian  coast,  sea   INTRODUCTION
                                              levels  are  rising  faster  than  the   The average global sea level
                                              global  average.  Metropolitan   has increased by 76 mm in the
          “Though     we    have    some      cities  like  Kolkata,  Chennai,   last 25 years due to increasing
          information  about  potential       Kochi  and  Mumbai  would  be   concentrations of green house
                                              the most impacted because of sea
          SLR     impacts    along     the    level  rise  in  future.  Mumbai’s   gases in the  atmosphere
          coastline of few metropolitan       sea  level  is  estimated  to  rise  to   (Willoughby et al., 2020).
                                                                              The three primary  factors
          cities,  we  still do not know      0.12m  by  2040  and  a  further   attributed to sea level rise
          how  much area  and  how            by 0.21 m by 2060 compared to   (SLR) globally are thermal
          many people  will be  at risk       0.04 m in 2020. The rise in sea   expansion,  melting  glaciers,
          for various levels of sea level     level  along  Indian  coast  will   and the loss of polar ice sheets.
          rise scenarios in various other     pose  risk  of  flash  flooding  and   The main risks arising from a
          coastal regions of the country.     submergence of many significant   rising sea level are shoreline
          An agenda for research should       coastal  properties  and  road   erosion  and   degradation,
          be on  mapping  the  area and       networks. Mumbai had suffered   which are amplified by
          population vulnerable to SLR        economic  losses  worth  USD    storm surge, permanent land
                                              1.75  billion  between  2005  to
          across every coastal district/      2015  due  to  floods.  Developing   inundation, and saltwater
                                                                              intrusion.  Shoreline  erosion
          city.”                              policies  to  mitigate  and  adapt   can occur since rising sea level
                                              to  the  impacts  of  SLR  in  cities   causes waves to push further
                                              on Indian coastline is necessary.   inland, even during low-tide.
           Key Words:  Sea level Rise (SLR),   SDG 14 also recognizes the need   Due  to  incessant  growth  of
           Coastal Real Estate, Disaster Risk   for  sustainably  managing  and   built areas in coastal towns,
           Reduction, Financing, Urban Planning  protecting  marine  and  coastal   the natural channels for storm
           Prof. Piyush Tiwari (piyush.tiwari@  ecosystems  to  avoid  significant   water to drain into the sea
           unimelb.edu.au) is Professor of    adverse  impacts.  Vulnerability   are lost. Furthermore, with
           Property, Faculty of Architecture   mapping  of  habitats  along   high tide, the effect of storms
           Building and Planning, University   the  coastline  in  advance  will   are amplified as storm drains
           of Melbourne, Australia &          provide ample time to direct the   are unable  to drain  into  the
           Visiting Professor, IRADe; and the   efforts  towards  mitigation  and   sea as the high tide (which
           Corresponding author. Dr. Mohit    adaptation. There is also a need   coincides with storm) pushes
           Kumar is Research Analyst, Integrated   to  develop  new  market-based
           Research and Action for Development   instruments  to  finance  the  cost   the water back on the land.
           (IRADe), New Delhi, India.                                         The rise in water table due to


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